StanleyC
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市场评论 – 美国进口价格加速上涨,美元反弹
美国进口价格创两年来最大涨幅 投资者缩减美联储降息押注 植田言论和日本央行债券操作,拖累日元下跌 华尔街再创历史新高后回落 美元挽回CPI相关损失 由于数据显示4月进口价格环比上涨0.9%,年增长率自0.4%升至1.1%,周四美元反弹,今日继续维持涨幅。 尽管周三公布的消费者物价指数(CPI)数据有所放缓,但进口价格指数的意外上涨,令市场更为担忧美联储遏制通胀的战斗尚未结束,而官员们最终可能推迟开始降息的计划。 早前市场定价美联储9月降息25个基点,而目前市场认为美联储采取降息行动的可能性约为90%,截至今年年底降息总数自昨日51个基点降至46个基点。 美联储官员坚持立场 美联储官员暗示尽管C
XM
Verified
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技术分析 – 密切关注日本央行,GBPJPY走高
GBPJPY再次走高,回归到干预前水平 日本央行或再次干预 动量指标偏向看涨 今日,GBPJPY再次小幅上涨,在过去的10个交易日中已第九次上涨。最近,在日本央行干预后看跌势头已疲软,该货币对迅速回升到干预前的水平。随着日本近期发布的数据持续令人失望,这一局势或加强日本央行再次干预的可能性。 动量指标显示看涨,但已出现一些早期疲软信号。平均方向移动指数(ADX)正小幅上涨,显示GBPJPY仍存在强劲的看涨走势,但还未创下更高高点。 相对强弱指数(RSI)再次突破其中立水平,表明市场看涨压力仍在区间震荡。更重要的是,随机震荡指标已突破其移动平均线,并小幅上涨。若此走势加剧,将被视为一个强烈的看涨
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老黑策略:5.17晚盘外汇、黄金、原油分析策略
5.17晚盘外汇、黄金、原油分析策略: 【美指】 美指日内继续保持偏强震荡,借着104.5支撑震荡回弹,欧盘时段高点测压至104.8一线,对5日线有刺破动作。美指的偏强延续是在预期内的,但是今日基本面没有太重要事件和数据公布,故而美指如果继续偏强也不是太合理,晚间美指继续关注5日线104.7争夺,上方主压则看10日线105附近,下方则继续关注60日线105.6-5一带的争夺,既然目前市场情绪偏强,那么今晚就不宜再出现过于剧烈的回落,所以稳住在104.5-105之间震荡也是很合适的选择。 【黄金】 虽然昨日黄金回修收阴线,但是今日并没有出现太大的延续,仅在亚盘时段出现一波下修回撤至2374附近,
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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Finds support from two major Moving Averages
EUR/GBP has declined to support from a cluster of Moving Averages. The pair has reached a pivotal level within a range that has been unfolding since January. In the absence of any bullish signs it could continue falling to the range floor as the sideways trend extends. EUR/GBP has continued falling
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Record high then down
USD: Jun '24 is Up at 104.620. Energies: Jun '24 Crude is Up at 78.78. Financials: The June '24 30 Year T-Bond is Down 10 ticks and trading at 117.19. Indices: The Jun '24 S&P 500 emini ES contract is 6 ticks Higher and trading at 5321.75. Gold: The Jun'24 Gold contract is trading Up at 2323.90
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The commodities feed: US Natural Gas climbs
US natural gas prices continue to strengthen, with lower-than-expected storage builds and the full return of Freeport LNG Energy – Chinese apparent Oil demand falls US stock draws and growing expectations that the US Fed may start cutting rates soon continue to support the oil market. However, while
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There is a real possibility that the Dollar pushback just keeps going
Outlook The markets so often see what they want to see. Everyone sees the regional Fed indices down and that buttresses their forecast of a US slowdown, completely forgetting other data that shows no such thing, even the Atlanta Fed GDPNow. Traders have decided inflation is being tamed and confidenc
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S&P 500 extended CPI advance, but was met with rejection
S&P 500 extended CPI advance, but was met with rejection – how serious is that? Too early to say whether that‘s the beginning of a protracted correction, but the procession of Fed speakers yesterday and today, must be taken into account. Together with 10y and 2y yields together with the dollar d
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Australian dollar hits 4-month high
The Australian dollar is lower on Friday. AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6658 in the European session, down 0.31% on the day. The Aussie touched a high of 0.6714 on Thursday, its highest level since January 10th. This followed a massive 1% surge on Wednesday after the US inflation report indicate
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Euro edges lower despite positive inflation report
The euro has posted slight losses on Friday. EUR/USD is down 0.28%, trading at 1.0837 in the North American session at the time of writing. Eurozone CPI steady, core CPI falls The April inflation report showed that headline inflation remained steady at 2.4% y/y, holding at its lowest level in almost
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Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates [Video]
After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation. Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe. Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, minutes on tap. No fireworks expected from RBNZ policy decision. Will CPI report bring BoC nearer to a rate cut? I
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US: Initial Jobless Claims increased above estimates last week
Initial Jobless Claims rose by 222K vs. the previous week. Continuing Jobless Claims rose by nearly 1.8M. US citizens that applied for unemployment insurance benefits increased by 222K in the week ending May 11, according to the US Department of Labor (DoL) on Thursday. The prints came in a tad abov
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Japanese Yen depreciates after decline in Q1 GDP
The Japanese Yen weakens after growth contracts by 0.5% in Q1. The data reduces further the chances of the BoJ moving to raise relatively low interest rates. The data stops the Greenback’s decline against the Yen following cooler-than-expected US inflation data. The USD/JPY is trading in the 154.70s
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After limited follow-through selling, the Dollar has come back bid
Overview: Three of the G10 currencies rose by more than 1% against the US dollar yesterday after the softer inflation and weak retail sales readings. The Dollar Index lost almost 0.65% yesterday, the most this year. Among emerging market currencies, only the Mexican and Chilean pesos rose by at leas
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Forex trading on USD and Nasdaq after inflation report trading short on Silver [Video]
In today’s Market Outlook let’s take a look at Silver (XAGUSD), USDCAD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, the DJIA, the S&P500, and the NASDAQ. Yesterday’s US CPI numbers and poor Retail Sales numbers showed the Fed that inflation is still trending downward. This sent the US Indices flying! Both the NASDAQ and th
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